Today is Thursday, February 26, 2026. Following the significant correction of the past two weeks, the market has entered a phase of quiet consolidation. The aggressive selling has subsided, and buyers are now engaging in steady, albeit cautious, procurement at these new price levels.

The following report is based on the 9% – 11% Moisture Level benchmark.

MAKHANA DAILY MARKET REPORT

Mithila Kisan Utpadak Sangathan (FPO)

Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026 | Market Status: Stable / Consolidation at Lower Levels

📢 MARKET OVERVIEW

• Market Sentiment: The market is finding its equilibrium. After a total drop of approximately ₹100 – ₹115 per segment this month, the prices have finally flattened out. There is a sense of “wait-and-watch” from both sides as they evaluate the upcoming Ramadan demand.

• Moisture Benchmark: Rates apply to 9% – 11% Moisture arrivals.

• Trend: Neutral (Prices are holding steady with almost zero fluctuation from yesterday).

1. TODAY’S MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect Current Spot Trades as of the morning session.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE CURRENT STATUS

• Price Floor Established: The ₹850 level (for 5 Suta) in the major Mandis seems to be acting as a strong floor. Sellers are showing resistance to dropping quotes any further, and buyers have started picking up volume at this rate to meet retail commitments.

• Supply Flow: Arrivals have moderated. Farmers and small stockists are no longer “panic selling,” which has removed the excessive downward pressure from the market.

• Quality Check: Premium “Export Quality” lots are starting to command a slight premium again as the market clears out the lower-quality stored stock that was being offloaded during the correction.

3. SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK

We expect the market to remain range-bound for the next 4–5 days. No major upside is expected until the retail demand for Ramadan fully hits the wholesale market in early March. For now, the focus is on stability. If you have immediate requirements, the current rates offer a safer entry point compared to the volatility of early February.

On Wednesday, February 25, 2026, the market finally showed signs of slowing down its aggressive descent. After a nearly ₹100–₹110 drop over the previous fortnight, the prices reached a level where some opportunistic buying started to emerge, providing a temporary floor to the falling market.

The following report is based on the 9% – 11% Moisture Level benchmark.

MAKHANA DAILY MARKET REPORT

Mithila Kisan Utpadak Sangathan (FPO)

Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 | Market Status: Attempting Stabilization / Sideways Movement

📢 MARKET OVERVIEW

• Market Sentiment: The “Free Fall” phase appears to have paused. While the sentiment is not yet “Bullish,” the volume of bids at the lower levels increased today, indicating that buyers find the current corrected rates attractive for short-term inventory.

• Moisture Benchmark: Rates apply to 9% – 11% Moisture arrivals.

• Trend: Neutral / Stable (Prices remained mostly flat compared to Tuesday, with minor variations).

1. MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect the Wednesday Closing Trades.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE STABILIZATION ATTEMPT

• Value Buying: Local traders and small-scale processors who were waiting for the ₹850-₹870 range (for 5 Suta) have started picking up small lots. This “bottom-fishing” prevented further slippage in today’s session.

• Quality Resistance: Sellers are now refusing to drop prices further for “Snow White” high-grade stock. There is a clear price divide forming between premium-look makhana and “average” stored stock.

• Ramadan Demand Factor: With the festive season approaching, retail demand is expected to pick up soon. Wholesalers who stayed out of the market during the ₹1000+ peak are now testing the waters at these lower ₹800-₹900 levels.

3. SHORT-TERM PREDICTION

The market is likely to remain in this consolidated range for the remainder of the week. We do not anticipate another sharp drop, nor a sudden spike. The 5 Suta (Benchmark) will likely oscillate between ₹850 and ₹880 as the market settles into its new reality.

Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026 | Market Status: Continued Bearish / Buyer’s Market

📢 MARKET OVERVIEW

• Market Sentiment: The “Wait and Watch” strategy by big FMCG buyers has successfully deflated the early February bubble. Sellers are now competing to attract the few active buyers in the Mandi, leading to further marginal slides.

• Moisture Benchmark: Rates apply to 9% – 11% Moisture arrivals.

• Trend: Weak (Prices dropped another ₹5–₹10 per kg in major trading centers).

1. MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect the Tuesday Spot Trades across North Bihar.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE TUESDAY DIP

• The 5 Suta Resistance: In Purnia and Katihar, the ₹850 support level for 5 Suta is being tested frequently. While some quality lots are trading slightly higher, the average market price is gravitating toward this new low.

• Jumbo Variety (7 Suta) Softening: Even the premium 7 Suta variety, which was extremely rigid in pricing last week, has softened. Buyers are now able to secure Jumbo lots for under ₹1,400 in Darbhanga, a price point that was unthinkable ten days ago.

• Supply Psychology: The “Zero Stock” fear has completely evaporated. The market now realizes that while total supply is low, the remaining inventory is being released systematically by stockists who are wary of holding old stock too close to the next harvest cycle.

3. SHORT-TERM PREDICTION

The market is currently oversold. We expect a period of lateral movement (sideways trading) for the next 48 hours. If the prices drop another ₹10, we anticipate a small wave of “value buying” from domestic retailers looking to stock up before Ramadan retail sales fully kick in.

On Monday, February 23, 2026, the Mandis reopened after the weekend, and the market confirmed the bearish trend you noted. The “Gap-Down” opening saw prices testing the new floors as the ₹100+ correction over the last fortnight became the established reality.

Here is the report for Monday, February 23, 2026, in English.

MAKHANA DAILY MARKET REPORT

Mithila Kisan Utpadak Sangathan (FPO)

Date: Monday, February 23, 2026 | Market Status: Weak Reopening / Bottom Testing

📢 MARKET OVERVIEW

• Market Sentiment: As predicted, the market opened on a weak note. High arrivals in the morning session at Purnia and Darbhanga Mandis put immediate pressure on prices, as sellers rushed to offload stock.

• Moisture Benchmark: Rates apply to the 9% – 11% Moisture segment.

• Trend: Continued Bearish (Prices slipped by another ₹10–₹15 per kg upon Monday opening).

1. MANDI OPENING RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect actual Mandi trades following the Monday Reopening.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE MONDAY REOPENING

• Arrival Inflow: After the weekend, the volume of arrivals was surprisingly high. This suggests that the “holding capacity” of mid-level stockists is weakening, and they are now prioritizing liquidity over high prices.

• Buyer Stance: While volume buyers (Industrial/Exporters) are still largely sidelined, some “Bottom-Fishing” was observed at the ₹850 level for 5 Suta. Buyers are cherry-picking only the best quality (Snow White) lots.

• Regional Disparity: The Purnia/Katihar belt is seeing a faster drop compared to the Kosi region (Supaul), where local sentiment is trying to hold the ₹900 mark for 5 Suta, though with very few successful trades.

3. SHORT-TERM PREDICTION

The market has not yet stabilized. We expect the next 48 hours to be critical. If the ₹850 (5 Suta) floor holds in Darbhanga, we might see a dead-cat bounce. However, the current momentum suggests prices could bleed another ₹10 before finding a permanent baseline for late February.

Since February 22, 2026, was a Sunday, the physical Mandis remained closed. However, the market sentiment was characterized by high anxiety. Following the sharp ₹100 drop over the previous 10 days, Sunday’s “off-market” discussions were focused on whether the bottom had been reached or if Monday would bring further losses.

Here is the report for Sunday, February 22, 2026, in English.

MAKHANA DAILY MARKET REPORT

Mithila Kisan Utpadak Sangathan (FPO)

Date: Sunday, February 22, 2026 | Market Status: Sunday “Off-Market” / Searching for Bottom

📢 MARKET OVERVIEW

• Market Sentiment: The bearish phase remains dominant. Sunday’s private inquiries suggest that the market is currently in a “wait-and-watch” mode. There is significant pressure on sellers to liquidate before the new month begins.

• Moisture Benchmark: Rates apply to the 9% – 11% Moisture segment.

• Price Status: Prices have stabilized at the lower levels reached on Saturday, with no further recovery in sight for the weekend.

1. SUNDAY PREDICTED SPOT RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect private Sunday negotiations and speculative quotes.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: SUNDAY REFLECTIONS

• The ₹850 Barrier: In the Purnia and Katihar belt, 5 Suta quotes are hovering dangerously close to the ₹850 mark. This is seen as a major psychological floor; if this breaks on Monday, we could see a further sharp sell-off.

• Buyer Inactivity: Major processing units in Delhi and Maharashtra remained silent over the weekend. They appear to be waiting for Monday’s opening volume to see if Mandi arrivals increase, which would push prices down further.

• Farmer Sentiment: Small farmers who were holding back stock are now panicking. Sunday saw increased calls from local aggregators wanting to offload whatever little quantity is left at current market prices before it drops any more.

3. MONDAY OUTLOOK (PREDICTION)

We anticipate a weak opening for Monday morning. The market lacks any immediate “Bullish” trigger. Unless export buyers or large domestic retail chains resume buying, the 5 Suta (Benchmark) will likely struggle to hold the ₹875 average.

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026 | Market Status: Weekend Stagnation / Bearish Sentiment

📢 MARKET OVERVIEW

• Market Sentiment: With Mandis closed, the private “farm-gate” market showed a lack of confidence. The total correction over the last 10-12 days has now firmly hit the ₹100–₹115 mark.

• Moisture Benchmark: Rates are based on 9% – 11% Moisture.

• Activity: Extremely dull. Only distressed stocks were traded at the lower end of the price bands.

1. SATURDAY SPOT RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect private weekend trades and “off-market” quotes.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: WEEKEND PERSPECTIVE

• Cold Storage Inquiries: Unlike previous weeks where buyers were calling cold storage owners to block stock, this weekend saw storage owners calling traders to check for active bids. The power has shifted back to the buyers.

• The “Psychological Bottom”: Traders are closely watching the ₹850 mark for 5 Suta. There is a general fear that if Monday opens weak, the market could slide another ₹20–₹30 before finding any real support.

• Impact of “Old Stock”: Reports of high moisture retention and slight discoloration in stored raw nuts are making buyers very selective. “Average Quality” is suffering the most in this price drop.

3. SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK (MONDAY PREDICTION)

We predict a flat to weak opening for Monday, February 23. Unless a major export order or institutional buying from the FMCG sector enters the market, the prices will continue to hover near these lower levels. The 5 Suta (Benchmark) is likely to face its toughest test on Monday morning.

Here is the recalibrated report for Friday, February 20, 2026. Following your direction regarding the ₹100 drop over the last 10 days, this report reflects the market as it continued to search for a stable floor, with prices sliding further away from the early February peaks.

MAKHANA DAILY MARKET REPORT

Mithila Kisan Utpadak Sangathan (FPO)

Date: Friday, February 20, 2026 | Market Status: Corrective Slide / High Buyer Resistance

📢 MARKET OVERVIEW

• Market Sentiment: The bearish momentum intensified as the week came to a close. Total price erosion over the last 10 days has now reached the ₹90–₹110 range across various grades.

• Moisture Benchmark: Rates are based on 9% – 11% Moisture.

• Trade Volume: Very low. Sellers are hesitant to sell at a loss, while buyers are waiting for prices to bottom out completely.

1. MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect the Recalibrated Ground Reality for Feb 20.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE “FREE FALL” FACTOR

• Liquidation Pressure: Mid-sized traders who bought at the peak are now feeling the pressure. Some “panic selling” was observed today as holders tried to liquidate stock before the weekend to avoid further potential losses on Monday.

• Manufacturer Stance: FMCG giants in North India (Delhi, Punjab, and UP) have successfully forced the market down by staying out of the Mandis for the entire week. They are currently operating on existing buffer stocks.

• Inventory Quality: As we move deeper into the off-season, the remaining 2025 raw nuts are showing signs of aging. This lack of “freshness” in the final popped product is also contributing to the downward price pressure.

3. SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK

The market is heading into the weekend with a weak tone. We expect the 5 Suta (Benchmark) to potentially drop below ₹880 early next week if demand doesn’t return. Buyers are advised to remain cautious and only buy for immediate processing needs.

Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026 | Market Status: Corrective Stabilization / Low Volume

📢 MARKET OVERVIEW

• Market Sentiment: The bearish trend continues as the market seeks a sustainable floor. Major buyers are only picking up stock for immediate needs (hand-to-mouth), avoiding bulk accumulation at current rates.

• Moisture Benchmark: Rates apply to 9% – 11% Moisture arrivals.

• Trend: Downward (A further drop of ₹5–₹10 per kg across most segments).

1. MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect the Stabilization Phase on Feb 19.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: GROUND REALITIES

• Price Correction Progress: The market has now dropped nearly ₹30–₹40 since the beginning of the week. This correction is seen as healthy by industry experts to prevent a total standoff between farmers and manufacturers.

• The “Wait and Watch” Mode: Stockists in the Kosi region (Saharsa/Supaul) are still holding out for higher prices, but the lack of aggressive bids from outside traders is gradually softening their stance.

• Inventory Update: While stock is low, the urgency to buy has dissipated. Traders are monitoring international demand signals and the early signs of the upcoming 2026 crop cycle before making large commitments.

3. SHORT-TERM PREDICTION

We expect the market to remain soft for the rest of the week. The 5 Suta grade is likely to test the ₹880 support level. If prices drop further, we expect industrial buyers to return to the market by next Tuesday/Wednesday to replenish their processing stocks.

Date: Wednesday, February 18, 2026 | Market Status: Corrective Phase / Softening Demand

📢 MARKET OVERVIEW

• Market Sentiment: Following a period of aggressive overvaluation, the market is currently undergoing a price correction. Sellers are adjusting quotes downward to attract volume buyers.

• Moisture Benchmark: Rates are for the 9% – 11% Moisture segment.

• Trend: Bearish (Prices dropped by approx. ₹15–₹20 per kg since the start of the week).

1. MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect the Correction Phase on Feb 18.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: GROUND REALITIES

• Buyer Resistance: Large processing units and FMCG wholesalers have temporarily halted bulk procurement, refusing to buy 5 Suta above the ₹950 mark. This has forced local stockists to ease their pricing.

• Arrival Pressure: A slight increase in arrivals was noted in Purnia and Katihar as some mid-level traders began releasing stock to book profits before any further decline.

• Quality Preference: Even in a falling market, high-quality, bright white stock (Snow White) is holding its value better than slightly yellowish or lower-grade lots.

3. SHORT-TERM PREDICTION

The market is currently searching for a stable floor. We expect the correction to continue for another 3–4 days until prices reach a level where industrial demand kicks back in. We anticipate 5 Suta to settle around the ₹880–₹900 range by early next week.

Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026 | Market Status: Bullish & Consolidation

📢 MARKET BENCHMARK UPDATE

• Moisture Benchmark: 9% to 11% (Standard Mandi Quality).

• Premium Note: पूरी तरह सूखे माल (4.5% Moisture) के लिए बाज़ार में ₹60 – ₹85 प्रति किलो का भारी प्रीमियम बना हुआ है, क्योंकि तैयार माल का स्टॉक लगभग शून्य की स्थिति में है।

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: ये आंकड़े 9% – 11% नमी के स्तर पर आधारित एक अनुमान (Prediction) हैं।

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: GROUND REALITIES

• स्थिरता के साथ मज़बूती: कल की ₹20-30 की छलांग के बाद आज कीमतों में स्थिरता है, लेकिन भाव नीचे आने का नाम नहीं ले रहे। दरभंगा मंडी में 5 सूता का बेस भाव ₹1,030 के ऊपर मजबूती से टिका हुआ है।

• कोसी बेल्ट का ‘जंप’: सहरसा और सुपौल की छोटी मंडियों में भी अब 5 सूता ₹1,050 के पार बिक रहा है। जंबो क्वालिटी (7 सूता) के लिए कुछ चुनिंदा सौदे ₹1,650 (सूखा माल) तक भी देखे गए हैं।

• स्टॉक की स्थिति: गाँव-देहात के छोटे केंद्रों पर अब माल की आवक न के बराबर है। जो भी स्टॉक है, वह अब बड़े कोल्ड स्टोरेज मालिकों और व्यापारियों के नियंत्रण में है, जिससे उनकी “Bargaining Power” बढ़ गई है।

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

हमारा अनुमान (Prediction) है कि कल बुधवार तक बाज़ार में एक और हल्की तेज़ी देखने को मिल सकती है। 5 सूता (10% नमी) का अगला लक्ष्य ₹1,075 – ₹1,100 की ओर बढ़ता दिख रहा है। रमज़ान की मांग अब अपने चरम पर पहुँच रही है, जो कीमतों को गिरने नहीं देगी।

Date: Monday, February 16, 2026 | Market Status: Aggressive Rally / All-Time Highs

📢 MARKET BENCHMARK UPDATE

• Moisture Benchmark: 9% to 11% (Current Mandi Average).

• Monday Opening: The market opened with high volatility. Demand from industrial buyers outpaced the limited arrivals at the Darbhanga and Purnia Mandis.

1. MANDI RATES (ACTUAL & PREDICTED) (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect the Monday Reopening baseline at 9% – 11% Moisture.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE MONDAY SURGE

• The Supply Squeeze: Total arrivals across North Bihar Mandis were down by nearly 15% compared to the previous Monday. With the 2025 crop almost finished, the “sellers’ market” has become even more dominant.

• Kosi Region Record: In Supaul, 7 Suta (Jumbo) has firmly crossed the ₹1,600 mark. Buyers are prioritizing color and size over moisture content as they rush to fill orders before Ramadan.

• FMCG Pressure: Large snack manufacturers have increased their spot-buying activity. They are no longer negotiating on price but are simply looking for “available quantity” to keep their production lines running.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

Based on the Monday opening, our prediction for the rest of the week is a period of “Price Consolidation” at these high levels. We do not expect any significant correction. The 5 Suta (10% Moisture) baseline is likely to test the ₹1,075 mark by Wednesday.

Date: Sunday, February 15, 2026 | Market Status: Sunday “Off-Market” Trades / Bullish Sentiment

📢 MARKET BENCHMARK UPDATE

• Moisture Benchmark: 9% to 11% (Standard Quality).

• Sunday Analysis: While physical Mandi arrivals are zero on Sundays, speculative buying by large stockists has kept the prices at a premium.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED SPOT RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect Sunday Private Trades based on a 9% – 11% Moisture baseline.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE SUNDAY CALM BEFORE THE STORM

• Stockists’ Grip: Large traders in the Mithila region are holding onto their 2025 stock tightly. Any small lot available in the villages is being picked up immediately at a premium to avoid the high Mandi rates expected on Monday.

• Psychological Break: The fact that 5 Suta (even with 10% moisture) is now consistently staying above the ₹1,000 mark has shifted the entire market’s perception. Buyers have stopped waiting for a “dip.”

• Preparation for Ramadan: With the festive season approaching, processing units are running extra shifts to convert raw nuts into popped makhana, leading to a desperate search for raw materials even on a holiday.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

Our prediction for the coming week (starting Feb 16) is a “Gap-Up” opening. We expect the market to open at least ₹15-20 higher per grade on Monday morning. The 7 Suta (Jumbo) is likely to establish a firm floor at ₹1,550 across all major North Bihar centers.

Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026 | Market Status: Saturday Spot Trades / Extremely Tight

📢 MARKET BENCHMARK UPDATE

• Moisture Benchmark: 9% to 11% (Standard Mandi Quality).

• Weekend Spot Trading: With official Mandis closed, private millers are offering premium rates for immediate delivery to cover their weekend processing gaps.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED SPOT RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures reflect Private Spot Trades based on a 9% – 11% Moisture baseline.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE SATURDAY “PREMIUM”

• The Weekend Push: Despite the Mandi holiday, small-scale collectors and local brokers were seen picking up stocks at even higher rates than Friday, anticipating a massive “Monday Gap-Up” in prices.

• 7 Suta Scarcity: In the Kosi region (Supaul/Saharsa), the 7 Suta (Jumbo) variety is practically unavailable in open spot trades. Buyers are ready to pay up to ₹1,600 for ready-to-pack dry stock, but sellers are holding onto their inventory.

• Supply Pipeline: The volume of 2025 stock remaining in the hands of small farmers is now estimated to be less than 5%, shifting all pricing power to large cold-storage holders.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

The weekend behavior confirms our prediction: Monday morning will likely open with a fresh rally. We expect the 5 Suta (10% Moisture) baseline to start above ₹1,030 in Darbhanga as soon as the Mandi bell rings. The trend remains aggressively upward.

Date: Friday, February 13, 2026 | Market Status: Historic Peaks / Strong Consolidation

MARKET BENCHMARK UPDATE

• Moisture Benchmark: 9% to 11% (Standard Mandi Quality).

• Premium Dry Stock: Fully dried stock (4.5% Moisture) is currently commanding an elite premium of ₹55 – ₹80 per kg above the rates listed below, as ready-to-pack inventory becomes extremely scarce.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures are a Prediction based on the 9% – 11% Moisture baseline.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: GROUND REALITIES

• The New Support Level: The market has accepted ₹1,000 as the new support level for 5 Suta. There is zero resistance from buyers at these rates because there is simply no alternative supply available until the new crop.

• Kosi Region Dominance: Supaul and Saharsa continue to lead the price charts. Buyers are paying top dollar for any lot that shows “Snow White” brightness, regardless of the 10% moisture content.

• Pre-Weekend Stocking: Large wholesalers are aggressively stocking up today to avoid being caught in a potential “Monday Gap-up” (a sudden price jump when the market reopens next week).

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

We predict that the momentum will carry through the weekend. By Monday, we expect the baseline for 5 Suta to be firmly established at ₹1,025+. If you are holding stock, the current advice is to release only small quantities to capitalize on the rising curve.

Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026 | Market Status: Extremely Bullish / Inventory Crisis

MARKET BENCHMARK UPDATE

• Moisture Benchmark: 9% to 11% (Standard Mandi Quality).

• Premium Dry Stock: Fully dried stock (4.5% Moisture) is currently attracting a record premium of ₹50 – ₹75 per kg over the rates listed below due to the high cost of mechanical drying in current humidity levels.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures are a Prediction based on the 9% – 11% Moisture baseline.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: GROUND REALITIES

• Breaking the ₹1,000 Barrier: For the first time, the 5 Suta Benchmark (even at 10% moisture) has touched the ₹1,000 mark in Darbhanga spot trades this morning.

• The Kosi Surge: In Saharsa and Supaul, where the best Jumbo quality originates, rates have officially crossed ₹1,500 for 7 Suta. Local traders describe the situation as a “supply vacuum.”

• Industrial Panic: FMCG companies and snack manufacturers are making frantic inquiries to secure long-term contracts, fearing that prices might spiral further before the new harvest arrives months later.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

The momentum is unstoppable. We predict that by next week, the baseline for 5 Suta will firmly settle above ₹1,050. Any stock currently held at 10% moisture is “as good as gold” as long as it is stored properly to avoid fungus.

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | Market Status: Highly Bullish / Supply Squeeze

📢 MARKET BENCHMARK UPDATE

To ensure traders and buyers have the most accurate data for current arrivals:

• Moisture Benchmark: 9% to 11% (Current Mandi Average).

• Dry Stock Note: Premium sorted stock with 4.5% Moisture is commanding a heavy premium of ₹45 – ₹70 per kg above the rates listed below.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures are a Prediction based on the 9% – 11% Moisture baseline.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: GROUND REALITIES

• Shrinking Arrivals: Early morning reports from Darbhanga and Saharsa indicate that mandi arrivals have dropped by another 10% compared to last week. Farmers are now holding back the very last of their 2025 stocks.

• The “Jumbo” Surge: 7 Suta (Jumbo) prices are approaching the ₹1,500 milestone even with 10% moisture in the Kosi belt. This is driven by aggressive buying from export-oriented roasting units.

• Moisture Management: While the 9-11% moisture stock is the most traded, processors are struggling with high “Weight Loss” during roasting, further pushing up the price of ready-to-eat (popped) makhana.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

The upward trajectory is firm. We predict that the 5 Suta Benchmark will hit the ₹1,000 mark (at 10% moisture) by the coming weekend or early next week. The market is currently in a “Buy on Dips” mode, as every small correction is immediately met with fresh demand.

Date: Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | Market Status: Bullish & Tight

MARKET BENCHMARK UPDATE

To maintain transparency and accuracy for our trade partners, please note:

• Moisture Benchmark: 9% to 11% (Standard Mandi Quality).

• Dry Stock Note: Fully dried stock (4.5% Moisture) is currently attracting a high premium of ₹40 – ₹65 per kg over the rates mentioned below.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures are a Prediction based on the 9% – 11% Moisture baseline.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: GROUND REALITIES

• Upward Movement: Prices in Darbhanga have seen a slight bump of ₹10-15 today as supply for 5 Suta and above continues to tighten.

• The “Weight Loss” Factor: With moisture levels at 10-11%, processors are factoring in significant shrinkage during the roasting process, yet they are buying aggressively to maintain buffer stocks.

• Premium Quality Scarcity: Hand-picked, extra-white “Snow” quality 7 Suta is becoming extremely rare. Local agents in the Kosi region (Saharsa/Supaul) are reporting spot deals crossing the ₹1,450 mark for immediate dry-stock delivery.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

The market has successfully absorbed the new moisture-based price floor. We predict that the 5 Suta Benchmark will likely cross the ₹1,000 threshold (even at 10% moisture) within the next 10 days as Ramadan demand peaks and the 2025 stock reaches total exhaustion.

Date: Monday, February 09, 2026 | Market Status: Firm & Steady

IMPORTANT MARKET UPDATE

As per the demand of our viewers and to align with the current stock circulating in the Mandi, we are updating our reporting standards:

• Previous Benchmark: 4.5% Moisture (Dry/Export Quality).

• Current Benchmark (Effective from Feb 8): 9% to 11% Moisture Level.

  Since the majority of the current arrivals fall within this moisture range, our approximate rate predictions from today onwards will be based on this standard.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures are a Prediction based on a 9% – 11% Moisture Level benchmark.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: GROUND REALITIES

• Monday Momentum: As the Mandi opened for the new week, healthy demand was observed for stocks with 9-11% moisture. Buyers are showing interest in securing available stocks despite the moisture content due to shrinking overall supply.

• Processing Cost Factor: Since the current stock contains higher moisture, large-scale buyers and millers are calculating “Weight Loss” during the drying process before finalizing bulk deals.

• Dry Stock Premium: Fully dried and graded stock (4.5% Moisture) continues to trade at a significant premium of ₹40 – 60 per kg above the rates listed in the table.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

Based on the new moisture baseline, our prediction suggests that prices will remain stable within these ranges for the next 3-4 days. With the 2025 harvest nearing exhaustion and increasing domestic demand ahead of Ramadan, we anticipate a gradual upward shift of ₹10–20 in the coming week.

Date: Sunday, February 08, 2026 | Market Status: Corrected & Firm

IMPORTANT MARKET UPDATE

To better serve our viewers and reflect the current ground reality of the Mandi, we are updating our reporting standards:

• Previous Benchmark: 4.5% Moisture (Sorted/Export Quality).

• New Benchmark (Effective Today): 9% – 11% Moisture Level.

  As per popular demand from our viewers, our daily price predictions will now reflect the approximate rates for stocks currently circulating in the Mandi with higher moisture content.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures are a Prediction based on a 9% – 11% Moisture Level benchmark.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE MOISTURE FACTOR

• Sunday “Off-Market” Trades: While official Mandis are closed, private transactions at the farm-gate are active based on the 10% moisture baseline.

• Processing Note: Buyers should note that stocks with 9-11% moisture will require further drying. Dry/Grade-A stock (4.5% moisture) continues to command a premium of ₹40-60/kg over the rates listed above.

• High-Grade Demand: Despite the moisture levels, 6 Suta and 7 Suta grades remain in short supply, keeping the price floor firm for large-sized Fox Nuts.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

With this new reporting baseline, we predict the market will consolidate within these price brackets for the next 3-4 days. As the 2025 harvest continues to deplete, we expect a gradual upward movement once the available “moist” stock is absorbed by the processing units.

Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026 | Market Status: Very Strong / Bullish

Today is Saturday, February 7, 2026. As we hit the weekend, the Makhana market is experiencing a “Supply Squeeze.” With the 2025 harvest almost depleted and the National Makhana Board’s influence growing, the market is no longer just bullish—it is transforming into a high-premium commodity market.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures are a Prediction based on weekend trade sentiment and rapidly shrinking buffer stocks.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE WEEKEND TREND

• Arrival Scarcity: Mandi arrivals have slowed significantly as we enter the weekend. Major stockists are holding onto their remaining inventory, expecting a further price surge in mid-February.

• Export Desperation: Export agents for the Middle Eastern markets are struggling to find “Snow White” Jumbo (7 Suta) lots. This has created a massive premium for ready-to-dispatch stocks in the Kosi region.

• The 5 Suta Milestone: For the first time this season, the 5 Suta Benchmark is consistently trading above the ₹1,000 mark across all major hubs, signaling a permanent shift in price floors.

• Strict Quality Control: Buyers are refusing to compromise on moisture. A strict 4.5% moisture ceiling is being enforced, with penalties reaching up to ₹90/kg for inferior stock.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

Based on current supply-demand dynamics and the total depletion of farm-level stocks, our prediction for the upcoming week suggests continued upward pressure. We anticipate the 5 Suta Benchmark to establish a new support level near ₹1,150 in the Mithila belt by next Wednesday.

Date: Friday, February 6, 2026 | Market Status: Very Strong / Bullish

Today is Friday, February 6, 2026. The market shows no signs of cooling down as the 2025 harvest enters its final liquidation phase. Scarcity is the primary driver today, forcing buyers to compete aggressively for the remaining premium lots.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures are a Prediction based on current supply-demand gaps and early morning trade sentiment.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: GROUND REALITIES

• Stock Depletion: Daily arrivals at major hubs have slowed to a trickle. Large stockists are reluctant to release inventory, anticipating even higher prices toward the end of February.

• 7 Suta Demand: Export houses are locked in a bidding war for Jumbo (7 Suta) quality. Supaul and Saharsa are seeing record local prices for “Snow White” premium lots.

• Pre-Weekend Lock-in: Wholesale buyers are rushing to secure stock before the weekend pause, leading to high transaction volumes despite the record-high prices.

• The Moisture Ceiling: A strict 4.5% moisture limit remains the standard. Any stock exceeding this threshold is facing immediate rejection or heavy penalties (₹70-90/kg).

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

Based on the current trajectory, our prediction indicates that the market will consolidate at these premium levels. With the 5 Suta Benchmark now firmly established above the ₹1,100 mark in Mithila hubs, we anticipate continued upward pressure as export demand remains unsatisfied.

Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Market Status: Bullish / Firm

Today is Thursday, February 5, 2026. Following the strong momentum observed throughout the week, the market continues to show a “Firm Bullish Bias.” As we approach the weekend, we are seeing a heightened sense of urgency from institutional buyers to lock in stocks from the dwindling 2025 harvest.

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Note: These figures are a Prediction based on early morning trade sentiment and current supply-demand gaps.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: THE DRIVING FACTORS

• Arrivals Shrinking: Daily arrivals in the Mithila and Kosi belts have decreased by another 5-8%. Sellers are now holding back for the anticipated peak February prices.

• Ramadan Logistics: Export houses are prioritizing high-grade Jumbo (7 Suta) for overseas shipments. This specific demand is causing a premium price gap between Mithila and Seemanchal hubs.

• Roasting Units Active: Industrial demand for 3 and 4 Suta remains robust as snack manufacturers anticipate further hikes in raw material costs next week.

• Moisture Penalty: Buyers are maintaining a strict 4.5% moisture ceiling. Stock failing this test is seeing immediate price adjustments of ₹70-90/kg.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST (PREDICTION)

Based on the current trajectory and various market factors, our prediction indicates that the market will likely sustain its upward movement. In the premium hubs of Darbhanga and Madhubani, we predict the 5 Suta Benchmark will consistently trade above the ₹1,100 mark by the end of this trading week.

Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Market Status: Very Strong / Bullish

1. TODAY’S PREDICTED MANDI RATES (₹/KG)

Estimated wholesale rates for premium Raw Phool Makhana based on early morning trade sentiment.

2. MARKET ANALYSIS: WHY IS THE MARKET HEATING UP?

• Stock Scarcity Peak: We estimate that the available market stock of the 2025 harvest has now dropped to under 30%. Sellers in the Kosi and Mithila belts are becoming extremely selective, leading to a “Seller’s Market.”

• The ‘Jumbo’ Gap: The gap between 5 Suta and 7 Suta is widening. Premium Jumbo (7 Suta) is seeing a surge in demand from export houses preparing for Ramadan shipments to the Middle East, with some private deals in Supaul reportedly crossing ₹1,800/kg for boutique lots.

• Industrial Rush: 3 and 4 Suta grades are seeing unusual demand from domestic roasting units who want to lock in prices before the predicted mid-month hike.

• Quality Alert: Any stock with moisture content above 4.5% is facing a rejection or a heavy discount (₹60-80/kg), as buyers prioritize long-term storage stability.

3. WEEKEND PREDICTION

By the end of this week (Feb 7-8), we predict the 5 Suta Benchmark will firmly cross the ₹1,100/kg mark in Darbhanga and Madhubani. If you are looking to secure stock for Q1, doing so before Friday is highly recommended.

Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Market Trend: Very Strong / Bullish

1. DAILY MANDI RATES (₹/KG) – FEB 03, 2026

Rates reflect wholesale closing averages for high-quality Raw Phool Makhana across major Bihar hubs.

2. TODAY’S MARKET ANALYSIS

• The “Short-Supply” Spike: Mandi arrivals in Darbhanga and Madhubani have dropped by 15% this morning. This scarcity has pushed 7 Suta (Jumbo) prices up by another ₹15–₹25/kg since yesterday.

• Industrial Momentum: Purnia and Katihar are seeing heavy turnover in the 3 & 4 Suta grades. Large-scale snack manufacturers are aggressively stocking up to avoid the anticipated month-end price hikes.

• The Moisture Premium: Buyers are strictly penalizing stock with moisture above 4.5%. With Bihar’s temperatures rising, the risk of “yellowing” is high; hence, perfectly dried “Snow White” lots are fetching record premiums.

• Export Pressure: Pre-Ramadan inquiries from the Middle East are peaking. Export agents are concentrating their buying in the Kosi belt (Saharsa/Supaul) to secure high-volume white lots.

3. WEEKLY FORECAST

The 2025 harvest is now 65%–70% liquidated. We expect the market to remain firmly bullish throughout the week. Resistance for the 5 Suta Benchmark is now shifting toward the ₹1,100 mark in the Mithila region.

4. CONTACT US FOR PROCUREMENT

• Email: sales @ mithilafpo.in

• Trade WhatsApp: [+91-9572449747]

The Makhana market today shows sustained bullishness as it enters the second month of the year. Following a strong January characterized by an 11% price surge, the market has settled into a high-value plateau. Supplies from the 2025 harvest are thinning rapidly, with approximately 65% of the total crop already liquidated, leaving the industry dependent on stored stocks until August 2026.

1. Regional Mandi Rates (₹/Kg) – February 2, 2026

Prices represent wholesale averages for Raw Phool Makhana across major hubs.

2. Strategic Market Analysis

• The “Premium” Gap: High-quality 7 Suta (Jumbo) stock is fetching record prices, peaking at ₹1,600–₹1,700/Kg in luxury retail segments.

• Sabour Makhana-1 Impact: Area expansion using improved varieties like Sabour Makhana-1 has increased productivity by 12 quintals per hectare, though farm-gate seed prices have simultaneously risen 8-10 times.

• Kosi Belt Revitalization: Districts like Supaul and Saharsa are seeing conventional agriculture collapse under standing water, but Makhana is “rewriting the fate” of these regions, with productivity gains generating an additional ₹3.25–₹3.75 lakh per hectare for farmers.

• Export Trends: Major markets like the US and UAE pay between $13.3 and $19.5/Kg, but premium niche markets in Germany and Australia are fetching up to $26/Kg for organic-certified stock.

3. Critical Pricing Factors

• The 4.5% Moisture Threshold: Professional buyers are currently rejecting stock with moisture levels exceeding 5-6% due to spoilage risks during storage.

• Lease Rents: Rent for low-lying Makhana land has surged to ₹62,500 per hectare in the 2025-26 season, significantly increasing the cost of production.

• Institutional Support: The establishment of the National Makhana Board (Budget 2025-26) is helping to institutionalize grading and improve international competitiveness.

Today, Sunday, February 1, 2026, the Makhana market is opening the new month with High-Value Stability. Following the strong finish in January, prices remain firm across major hubs as traders transition into the February procurement cycle.

As it is a Sunday, many primary mandis operate with limited volume, but the benchmark rates are holding steady at the January 31st closing levels.

Makhana Mandi Rates (₹/Kg) — 01 February 2026

Prices reflect wholesale averages for Raw Phool Makhana.

Market Sentiment & Opening Analysis

• February Momentum: The market has successfully carried over the 11% monthly growth momentum from January. There is currently no sign of a price “cooling off” period.

• The ₹1,000 Threshold: In premium markets like Darbhanga, the 5 Suta (Standard) grade is now firmly established above the ₹1,000/kg mark, which is a psychologically important barrier for wholesale traders.

• Supply Scarcity: Reports from the Seemanchal belt (Harda/Katihar) suggest that high-quality, low-moisture stock is becoming increasingly difficult to find, as nearly 65% of the 2025 harvest has already been liquidated.

• Export Inquiries: Early morning reports indicate strong export inquiries for 7 Suta (Jumbo) from Middle Eastern markets preparing for Ramadan, keeping the top-end prices at a premium.